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May Jobless Rate Still High in Michigan Despite Initial Rebound

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While things started to look up with a rebound in payroll jobs across Michigan last month, the unemployment rate was still, as most expected, high by historical records due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Michigan’s seasonally adjusted jobless rate edged down slightly in May to 21.2-percent, a small monthly reduction of 2.8-percentage points, according to data released today by the Michigan Department of Technology, Management & Budget. At the same time, the April state unemployment rate was revised upward to 24.0-percent.

Employment in Michigan rose by a solid 256,000 in May but remained over 1 million below February levels. The number of unemployed declined by 97,000, following almost a 900,000 increase in April. The Michigan labor force in May registered a significant gain of 159,000.

The national unemployment rate of 13.3-percent was down 1.4-percentage points in May. Michigan’s rate was 7.9-percentage points above the U.S. rate. Since May of 2019, the Michigan jobless rate soared by 17.0-percentage points, well above the rate gain nationally of 9.7-percentage points.

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Jason Palmer, Director of the Bureau of Labor Market Information and Strategic Initiatives, tells us, “The May job market was marked by two primary trends: a continuation of record-high unemployment and job gains resulting from initial recalls from pandemic-related layoffs.” He adds, “Jobs rose in most industries in May, but these additions accounted for only about 17-percent of the jobs lost in April.”

Monthly labor force trends and highlights

  • The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic kept Michigan’s May unemployment rate above 20.0-percent for the second straight month. In April, Michigan was one of only three states with a jobless rate above 20.0-percent.
  • With the end of the Great Recession, Michigan’s unemployment rate hit a peak of 14.6-percent in June of 2009.
  • Michigan’s labor force level rebounded in May to within 179,000 of the May 2019 level.

The Detroit-Warren-Dearborn Metropolitan Statistical Area’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased by 1.7-percentage points to 23.2-percent in May. Total employment moved down by 28,000, while unemployment rose by 35,000, resulting in a net workforce increase of 7,000 since April.

Over the year, the Detroit metro area jobless rate surged by 18.7-percentage points. Employment plunged by 573,000, while the number of unemployed advanced substantially by 352,000, resulting in a net workforce reduction of 221,000 since May 2019.

Payroll jobs in Michigan rebound modestly in May

The monthly survey of employers indicated that seasonally adjusted jobs showed some initial signs of recovery in May. Michigan jobs rose by 178,000, or 5.2-percent, in May to 3,579,000. Despite this significant job gain, it represented only 17-percent of the jobs lost in April.

The most prominent monthly job advance occurred in the state’s construction sector, with a sharp recovery of 51,000 jobs over the month (+51-percent). Trade, transportation, and utilities had the second largest numeric job addition of 50,000 in May.

Industry employment trends and highlights

  • Over the year, Michigan payroll employment fell substantially by 850,000, or 19.2-percent.
  • Jobs in the state’s mining and logging sector fell to only 5,000 in May, the lowest level since at least 1990.
  • Michigan’s government sector recorded the largest numeric job cut of any major industry in May, dropping sharply by 13,000 jobs.
  • All major Michigan industries registered employment reductions since May 2019.

Over the year, leisure and hospitality had the largest employment decrease of any major sector, with jobs plunging by 238,000, or 54.7-percent.

State employment estimates are produced on a monthly basis using employment information from the week of the 12th of each month. The information in this report covers labor market trends for the week of May 10th–16th, 2020, in the midst of Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s Executive Order 2020-42 “Stay Home, Stay Safe.”

As such, the information in this release significantly reflects the May employment impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on Michigan’s workforce.